1. The loyal voter – 50%
2. The local voter – 20%
3. The newspaper reader – 20%
4. The people who think it’s their duty – 10%

The Loyal voter – This is where the conservatives stand to suffer most, over the last few years the many factions of the Tory party have all had their go at government and all failed. So it’s hard to see this number standing up with Sunak and his many disadvantages, of which the only one going for him is he’s rich. But Labour to have their problems here. By far the largest active base of the Labour Party is the socialist base. Many of these won’t lift a finger to help Starmer let alone a pen. But this will hold up far better than the Tories as … well it’s only the local elections. One interesting point is many of the councillors Starmer has kicked out of the party were returned under other groups & independents. So that cost him votes. The Lib Dems & Green loyal voter group should be very firm this time with no Brexit issues.

The Local Voter – Well this depends on how well a council is doing, in general it stays the same but here Labour are more at risk because they are the one who have made the biggest attempt to kick their out people out. Lib Dems & Green will gain purely on the basis that they have been building membership, mostly from people falling away from Labour, So they’ll have more people in the running this time than last.

The newspaper reader – Well there should be only one winner here and that’s Labour. In the last few years, since Starmer arrived as leader, the has been the biggest shift in focus for the main stream media in its history. Labour have gone from almost total negative reporting to almost total positive. If you ever doubted there was an “establishment” doubt no more. How many reporters have you since standing outside the home of Keir Starmer? How many comments have you seen about his dress sense? How many stories have you seen about his family? or his past? And the big one – when has he ever been asked about antisemitism or Russia? So these votes will help Labour only. sadly the Greens & LIb Dems never get any help from the MSM.

The people who think it’s their duty – These are people who don’t watch the news, don’t really read newspapers and probably some of them could even tell you who the prime minster of the UK is. This is the Conservative’s only hope to make new votes, but it’s a very small section. The thought process here is basically look at the names & if you’ve seen those in your area & you like the picture on the board, vote for them. If that is not an option, look at the party the represent and if they vote on if they prefer Sunak or Starmer. Let’s faceit, Starmer is a placeholder and has the personality of a block of cheese. So it’s Sunak most times here.